Model Discussion

Note - Below is my interpretation of the models, use at your own risk.

Updated 6.30pm August 29th, 2001

Low formation for SA

Most of the models are starting to come into line now for later this week and the weekend. They (GASP, EC, AVN) are supporting the formation of a low pressure system to the south of South Australia on Friday with it centred around Kangaroo Island/Adelaide on Saturday. This looks like a very interesting system for South Australia with heavy rain possible in parts as a result of the expected slow moving nature of the low. Heaviest rains will be those areas exposed to the prevailing winds, which with a low close by can be hard to pinpoint. Instability generated by the low could result in a few storms through SA. For the states further east it looks like the low will have less impact. Western portions of Victoria and NSW will see some weather from the low on Friday and Saturday as cloud bands move in from the west off the low. I have a feeling that if there is enough clearance present there may been the the odd storm pop up as well, but very dependant on cloud and how unstable the air is ahead of the system. Further east I think the low will have a greater impact later in the weekend when  the models have the low moving to a position east of Victoria (they are a bit uncertain where). Though it will weaken as it crosses SE Australia I think there could still be some interesting weather. The models also hint at quite a grunty trough/front system moving through SE Queensland, with storms looking likely, something to keep an eye on. More specifics on what the low will do when it actually develops, will be monitoring this system closely as it is shaping up yo be yet a very interesting weather period, bring it on!!!!!.